{"id":252825,"date":"2022-03-01T12:25:06","date_gmt":"2022-03-01T10:25:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investinslovakia.eu\/?p=252825"},"modified":"2022-05-26T12:32:49","modified_gmt":"2022-05-26T10:32:49","slug":"ako-ovplyvni-vojna-na-ukrajine-moje-investicie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wordpress.investinslovakia.eu\/sk\/ako-ovplyvni-vojna-na-ukrajine-moje-investicie\/","title":{"rendered":"Ako ovplyvn\u00ed vojna na Ukrajine moje invest\u00edcie?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Ak\u00fd bude ma\u0165 konflikt dopad na ceny bytov? M\u00f4\u017eem pr\u00eds\u0165 o svoje invest\u00edcie? Ako ovplyvn\u00ed geopolitick\u00e1 kr\u00edza realitn\u00fd biznis na Slovensku? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Intenz\u00edvne vn\u00edmame udalosti sp\u00f4soben\u00e9 konfliktom na Ukrajine. S\u00fa\u010dasn\u00e1 situ\u00e1cia so sebou prin\u00e1\u0161a aspekty, ktor\u00e9 m\u00f4\u017eu ovplyvni\u0165 realitn\u00fd biznis aj invest\u00edcie v \u0148om. Rozumieme potrebe zosta\u0165 informovan\u00fd a preto uv\u00e1dzame:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:35px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">5 predikci\u00ed a 5 odpoved\u00ed, ktor\u00e9 si mus\u00edte pre\u010d\u00edta\u0165, ak investujete v realitnom sektore<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Dan\u00e1 situ\u00e1cia n\u00e1s n\u00fati pozastavi\u0165 sa a zamyslie\u0165 sa nad t\u00fdm, ak\u00e9 dopady m\u00f4\u017ee ma\u0165 pre invest\u00edcie. Toto je 5 predikci\u00ed, ktor\u00e9 m\u00f4\u017eu nasta\u0165.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:70px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1) Ceny energi\u00ed vyletia prudko nahor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Vplyv konfliktu sa prejav\u00ed vo forme zv\u00fd\u0161enia n\u00e1kladov na stavebn\u00e9 materi\u00e1ly. N\u00e1klady na transport surov\u00edn cite\u013ene porast\u00fa kv\u00f4li cen\u00e1m ropy a sekund\u00e1rnym \u00fa\u010dinkom sa bud\u00fa \u0161\u00edri\u0165 cel\u00fdm dod\u00e1vate\u013esk\u00fdm re\u0165azcom, \u010do zv\u00fd\u0161i n\u00e1klady na v\u00fdstavbu developersk\u00fdch projektov.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Developeri bud\u00fa n\u00faten\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161i\u0165 cenu pred\u00e1van\u00fdch nehnute\u013enost\u00ed, \u010do by malo vies\u0165 pri zvy\u0161uj\u00facich sa hladin\u00e1ch \u00farokov\u00fdch sadzieb pri hypot\u00e9kach k prirodzen\u00e9mu poklesu dopytu po novom b\u00fdvan\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Na Slovensku v\u0161ak v realitnom biznise panuje \u0161pecifick\u00e1 situ\u00e1cia, nako\u013eko v posledn\u00fdch rokoch nedok\u00e1zala ponuka nov\u00fdch bytov a nehnute\u013enost\u00ed dostato\u010dne pokry\u0165 dopyt. Nedostatok nov\u00fdch bytov na Slovensku sa po\u010d\u00edta v desiatkach tis\u00edcov. Preto sa realitn\u00fd sektor, spolo\u010dne s bankami na Slovensku, moment\u00e1lne neob\u00e1va v\u00fdrazn\u00e9ho zni\u017eovania dopytu po novom b\u00fdvani a to ani pri \u010fal\u0161om n\u00e1raste vstupn\u00fdch n\u00e1kladov na ich v\u00fdstavbu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Omnoho kritickej\u0161\u00edm sektorom sa st\u00e1va situ\u00e1cia ve\u013ekov\u00fdrobcov v priemysle ako U. S. Steel Ko\u0161ice a Slovalco, ktor\u00fdch cenotvorba existen\u010dne z\u00e1vis\u00ed na cene vstupn\u00fdch energi\u00ed. Preru\u0161enie, resp. zastavenie v\u00fdroby a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 prep\u00fa\u0161\u0165anie m\u00f4\u017ee ma\u0165 za d\u00f4sledok migr\u00e1ciu obyvate\u013estva z t\u00fdchto regi\u00f3nov do \u201cvyv\u00e1\u017eenej\u0161\u00edch\u201d krajov Slovenska, ktor\u00fdch z\u00e1vislos\u0165 na priemysle je ni\u017e\u0161ia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dopyt tejto skupiny obyvate\u013estva po b\u00fdvan\u00ed sa m\u00f4\u017ee prejavi\u0165 v pozit\u00edvnom zmysle ako zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00fd z\u00e1ujem o b\u00fdvanie vo v\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00edch slovensk\u00fdch mest\u00e1ch, ktor\u00e9 maj\u00fa lep\u0161ie diverzifikovan\u00fdch zamestn\u00e1vate\u013eov.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Ako to ovplyvn\u00ed moje invest\u00edcie cez projekt Invest in Slovakia:<\/span><\/strong> Na\u0161a platforma podporuje projekty geograficky dostato\u010dne \u201cpestr\u00e9\u201d a v siln\u00fdch ekonomick\u00fdch regi\u00f3noch Slovenska s n\u00edzkou nezamestnanos\u0165ou. Okolie Tatier, Banskej Bystrice \u010di Bratislavy nie s\u00fa naviazan\u00e9 na monov\u00fdrobu a zamestnanos\u0165 vo fabrik\u00e1ch \u010di u ve\u013ekov\u00fdrobcov.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:70px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2) Imigr\u00e1cia<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Slovensko nie je prim\u00e1rnou destin\u00e1ciou imigruj\u00facich Ukrajincov. Aj tak v\u0161ak po Po\u013esku a Moldavsku poc\u00edtime zna\u010dn\u00fd po\u010det ute\u010dencov najm\u00e4 zo z\u00e1padn\u00fdch \u010dast\u00ed Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Ako to ovplyvn\u00ed moje invest\u00edcie cez projekt Invest in Slovakia:<\/span><\/strong> Tu vznik\u00e1 nieko\u013eko pr\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed pre realitno-developersk\u00fd sektor. V strednodobom horizonte by pr\u00edlev novej pracovnej sily mohol zn\u00ed\u017ei\u0165 cenu pr\u00e1ce, \u010do bude korigova\u0165 zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00fa cenu stavebn\u00fdch materi\u00e1lov.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Imigr\u00e1cia pritiahne Ukrajincov do siln\u00fdch ekonomick\u00fdch regi\u00f3nov Slovenska, kde sa dok\u00e1\u017eu zamestna\u0165 a u\u017eivi\u0165 tak svoje rodiny. Imigranti pre svoj \u017eivot bud\u00fa potrebova\u0165 b\u00fdvanie. A pr\u00e1ve do t\u00fdchto regi\u00f3nov <a href=\"https:\/\/investinslovakia.eu\/sk\/\">investinslovakia.eu<\/a> sprostredk\u00fava svoje invest\u00edcie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:70px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3) Rast\u00faca infl\u00e1cia<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Zv\u00fd\u0161enie ceny surov\u00edn a energi\u00ed zna\u010dne predra\u017e\u00ed produkciu vo v\u0161etk\u00fdch odvetviach, \u010di u\u017e v po\u013enohospod\u00e1rstve alebo priemysle. To sa prejav\u00ed okam\u017eit\u00fdm zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00edm cien produktov a t\u00fdm p\u00e1dom rastom infl\u00e1cie, ktor\u00e1 m\u00f4\u017ee presiahnu\u0165 hranicu 10%. Na skrotenie zr\u00fdch\u013euj\u00facej sa infl\u00e1cie pravdepodobne NBS zv\u00fd\u0161i \u00farokov\u00e9 sadzby \u00faverov na b\u00fdvanie. Menej hypot\u00e9k, by sa malo rovna\u0165 men\u0161iemu dopyt po bytoch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pod\u013ea tejto rovnice by malo b\u00fdvanie zlacnie\u0165, ako sme v\u0161ak spom\u00ednali vy\u0161\u0161ie, na Slovensku vo v\u0161eobecnosti pozorujeme ak\u00fatny nedostatok bytov. Preto by zv\u00fd\u0161enie \u00farokov\u00fdch sadzieb nemalo vies\u0165 k prepadu dopytu. Trh dostane mo\u017enos\u0165 o\u010disti\u0165 sa od \u201c\u0161pekulat\u00edvnych\u201d n\u00e1kupov a k\u00fapy investi\u010dn\u00fdch bytov, ktor\u00e9 sa prenaj\u00edmaj\u00fa, resp. ost\u00e1vaj\u00fa pr\u00e1zdne.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Ako to ovplyvn\u00ed moje invest\u00edcie cez projekt Invest in Slovakia:<\/span><\/strong> Matematika je jednoduch\u00e1. Likvidn\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00e9 prostriedky bud\u00fa \u201cpo\u017eieran\u00e9\u201d znehodnocovan\u00edm meny. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee vo\u013en\u00e9 peniaze na bankov\u00fdch \u00fa\u010dtoch a v hotovosti v\u00fdznamne str\u00e1caj\u00fa a bud\u00fa str\u00e1ca\u0165 svoju hodnotu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>V tomto pr\u00edpade je esenci\u00e1lne nedr\u017ea\u0165 finan\u010dn\u00e9 prostriedky nevyu\u017eit\u00e9, ale investova\u0165. Pre odv\u00e1\u017enej\u0161\u00edch sa ako vhodn\u00e1 jav\u00ed invest\u00edcia do kryptomien. Pre konzervat\u00edvnej\u0161\u00edch investorov je realitn\u00fd trh st\u00e1le efekt\u00edvnou a relat\u00edvne bezpe\u010dnou vo\u013ebou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nesmieme zab\u00fada\u0165, \u017ee realitn\u00fd trh historicky st\u00e1le rastie aj napriek r\u00f4znym kr\u00edzam v 20. a v 21. storo\u010d\u00ed. Inak tomu pravdepodobne nebude ani teraz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:70px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4) Klesne hodnota eura? Prepadn\u00fa sa svetov\u00e9 trhy?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>S eurom by uvalen\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 sankcie na Rusko extr\u00e9mne zam\u00e1va\u0165 nemali. Obchodn\u00e9 vz\u0165ahy s Ruskom toti\u017eto nie s\u00fa \u0165ah\u00fanom spolo\u010dnej eur\u00f3pskej ekonomiky. Na\u0161u pozornos\u0165 mus\u00edme upriami\u0165 in\u00fdm smerom - k USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hodnota eura sa men\u00ed vzh\u013eadom na jej paritu k americk\u00e9mu dol\u00e1ru. A aj ke\u010f ne\u0161\u0165astn\u00fdm sp\u00f4sobom, vojna na Ukrajine m\u00f4\u017ee americk\u00e9mu dol\u00e1ru pom\u00f4c\u0165. Akciov\u00e9 indexy USA p\u00f4jdu hore, pri\u010dom tomu v\u00fdrazne pom\u00f4\u017ee ohl\u00e1sen\u00fd koniec projektu Nordstream 2 a teda zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00fd predaj a v\u00fdvoz kvapaln\u00e9ho plynu z USA ako n\u00e1hrada \"s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00e9ho\" dod\u00e1vate\u013ea plynu - Ruska.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>V tejto situ\u00e1cii sa to m\u00f4\u017ee javi\u0165 cynicky, no z poh\u013eadu trhu s\u00fa vojnov\u00e9 konflikty pr\u00edle\u017eitos\u0165ou zarobi\u0165. Trhy sa dok\u00e1\u017eu ve\u013emi r\u00fdchlo prisp\u00f4sobi\u0165, padn\u00fa\u0165, resp. pre\u010dka\u0165 prvotn\u00e9 obdobie \u201c\u0161oku\u201d z konfliktu a n\u00e1sledne ve\u013emi r\u00fdchlo r\u00e1s\u0165 a zhodnocova\u0165 majetky investorov.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>V skuto\u010dnosti v\u0161ak nikto nedok\u00e1\u017ee s ur\u010ditos\u0165ou poveda\u0165, ako konflikt s Ukrajinou eskaluje a k ak\u00fdm d\u00f4sledkom povedie. Vych\u00e1dzame len z hist\u00f3rie a faktov, ktor\u00e9 s\u00fa zn\u00e1me z predo\u0161l\u00fdch podobn\u00fdch udalost\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:70px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">5) Ako to cel\u00e9 dopadne?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Aj ke\u010f je v moment\u00e1lnej situ\u00e1cii \u0165a\u017ek\u00e9 nie\u010do predikova\u0165, dovo\u013ete n\u00e1m na\u010drtn\u00fat najpravdepodobnej\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9nar v\u00fdvoja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Prim\u00e1rnym cie\u013eom Ruska je neutraliz\u00e1cia Ukrajiny a odst\u00fapenie v\u00fdchodn\u00fdch \u00fazem\u00ed. Rusko tie\u017e nem\u00e1 nevy\u010derpate\u013en\u00e9 zdroje a vojensk\u00fa oper\u00e1ciu bude potrebova\u0165 ukon\u010di\u0165 \u010do najsk\u00f4r. V z\u00e1ujme Ruska taktie\u017e nie je vyvola\u0165 svetov\u00fd konflikt a zah\u00e1ji\u0165 tak sebade\u0161trukciu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Konflikt preto bud\u00fa obe strany smerova\u0165 k rokovaciemu stolu, ako u\u017e aj nazna\u010duj\u00fa aktu\u00e1lne spr\u00e1vy z Kyjeva.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ukrajina bude nakoniec bez vojenskej pomoci NATO n\u00faten\u00e1 prist\u00fapi\u0165 na tento n\u00e1vrh a dosiahne sa stabiliz\u00e1cia situ\u00e1cie. Preto je najd\u00f4le\u017eitej\u0161ie neprepad\u00e1va\u0165 panike a k svojim peniazom pristupova\u0165 s chladnou hlavou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Odpor\u00fa\u010danie znie<\/span><\/strong> - nedr\u017ete peniaze v hotovosti a na \u00fa\u010dtoch, preto\u017ee v d\u00f4sledku infl\u00e1cie prich\u00e1dzate o zna\u010dn\u00e9 mno\u017estvo ich hodnoty. A pr\u00e1ve v tejto dobe to bude skuto\u010dne cite\u013en\u00e9. Rozumne investujte. Nech sa u\u017e rozhodnete investova\u0165 do nehnute\u013enosti prostredn\u00edctvom <a href=\"https:\/\/investinslovakia.eu\/sk\/\">investinslovakia.eu<\/a>, alebo niekde inde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:70px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">M\u00f4\u017eem pr\u00eds\u0165 v\u010faka vojensk\u00e9mu konfliktu invest\u00edciou do nehnute\u013enosti o peniaze?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Je n\u00e1m nesmierne \u013e\u00fato, \u017ee mus\u00edme rie\u0161i\u0165 t\u00fato t\u00e9mu a potenci\u00e1lne d\u00f4sledky vojensk\u00e9ho konfliktu. No v hist\u00f3rii modernej ekonomiky to nie je ni\u010d nezvy\u010dajn\u00e9. Paradoxne, s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00fd konflikt na Ukrajine m\u00f4\u017ee znamena\u0165 pr\u00edle\u017eitos\u0165 pre realitn\u00fd trh na Slovensku. Pri odhadovanom po\u010dte 100 000 imigrantov (ktor\u00fd by pod\u013ea slov <a href=\"https:\/\/e.dennikn.sk\/2743827\/nas-pracovny-trh-by-zvladol-aj-100-tisic-ukrajincov-mali-by-sme-na-to-vytvorit-podmienky-hovori-manazer-profesie\/?ref=mwat\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">mana\u017e\u00e9ra profesia.sk<\/a> pracovn\u00fd trh zvl\u00e1dol), bud\u00fa t\u00edto \u013eudia potrebova\u0165 b\u00fdvanie a \u010das\u0165 z nich bude zamestnan\u00e1 v stavebnom odvetv\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Je teda pravdepodobn\u00e9, aj na z\u00e1klade s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00e9ho dopytu, \u017ee realitn\u00fd trh bude pokra\u010dova\u0165 v raste. Ist\u00fa dobu m\u00f4\u017ee za\u017e\u00edva\u0165 stagn\u00e1ciu, resp. spomalenie, ale nie jeho zni\u010denie. Pr\u00eds\u0165 o peniaze, ktor\u00e9 investujete do nehnute\u013enost\u00ed, nepoklad\u00e1me za mo\u017en\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:70px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Z\u00e1ver<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Mierov\u00e9 diskusie medzi Ruskom a Ukrajinou sa m\u00f4\u017eu tiahnu\u0165 dlh\u0161ie obdobie. N\u00e1lada medzi svetom a Putinom m\u00f4\u017ee by\u0165 nap\u00e4t\u00e1 roky, resp. a\u017e po zvolenie novej ruskej vl\u00e1dy. Preto je d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e9<strong> neschy\u013eova\u0165 sa k pesimizmu, no pokra\u010dova\u0165 v akt\u00edvnom \u017eivote a v zhodnocovan\u00ed svojho majetku<\/strong> pre seba a pre svoju rodinu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ak\u00fd bude ma\u0165 konflikt dopad na ceny bytov? M\u00f4\u017eem pr\u00eds\u0165 o svoje invest\u00edcie? Ako ovplyvn\u00ed geopolitick\u00e1 kr\u00edza realitn\u00fd biznis na Slovensku? Intenz\u00edvne vn\u00edmame udalosti sp\u00f4soben\u00e9 konfliktom na Ukrajine. S\u00fa\u010dasn\u00e1 situ\u00e1cia so sebou prin\u00e1\u0161a aspekty, ktor\u00e9 m\u00f4\u017eu ovplyvni\u0165 realitn\u00fd biznis aj invest\u00edcie v \u0148om. Rozumieme potrebe zosta\u0165 informovan\u00fd a preto uv\u00e1dzame: 5 predikci\u00ed a 5 odpoved\u00ed, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":252836,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,14],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ako ovplyvn\u00ed vojna na Ukrajine moje invest\u00edcie? - Invest in Slovakia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ak\u00fd bude ma\u0165 konflikt dopad na ceny bytov? M\u00f4\u017eem pr\u00eds\u0165 o svoje invest\u00edcie? 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